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Article
Publication date: 16 February 2021

David Blake and John Pickles

The purpose of this paper is to portray the valuation of financial investments as mental time travel.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to portray the valuation of financial investments as mental time travel.

Design/methodology/approach

In a series of thought investments, $1 invested in an investment fund is mentally projected forward in time and then discounted back to the present – with no objective time passing. The thought investments feature symmetric valuation (in which discount rates exactly match projection rates) and asymmetric valuation (in which discount rates and projection rates happen to differ). They show how asymmetric valuation can result in differences between the current personal value and market value of an investment and, by way of real-world illustration, between a closed-end investment fund's net asset value and its market value. The authors explore possible reasons for asymmetric valuation.

Findings

Thought investments illustrating mental time travel can be used to help understand both financial investment valuation generally and, more specifically, established explanations of the closed-end investment fund puzzle. The authors show how different expectations, different perceptions of time and risk and different risk and time preferences might help determine value.

Originality/value

There are vast literatures on prospection, discounting and future-orientated or intertemporal decision-making. The authors’ innovation is to illustrate how these mental activities might combine to facilitate financial investment valuation. In particular, the authors show that a low personal discount rate could be a consequence of a shortened perception of future time and vice versa.

Details

Review of Behavioral Finance, vol. 14 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1940-5979

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 June 2000

David Blake and Jenny Lansdell

Presents a critique of the assumptions underlying the Teacher Training Agency (TTA) strategy of defining quality centrally and imposing its view through a power‐coercive change…

2670

Abstract

Presents a critique of the assumptions underlying the Teacher Training Agency (TTA) strategy of defining quality centrally and imposing its view through a power‐coercive change process. An alternative view of effective teacher education is developed, based on the contention that high quality courses result from the thinking and commitment of teacher education professionals, working with their colleagues in schools, in local settings. It is argued that the development of high quality initial teacher training (ITE) results essentially from the engagement of teacher educators with ideas drawn from teacher education practice and research. Centrally‐driven curriculum blue‐prints are unlikely to lead to the same high quality results, rather they will tend to result in mere compliance. The argument is illustrated by an example of teacher education development in one institution leading to a set of propositions about the elements which characterise high quality teacher education more generally.

Details

Quality Assurance in Education, vol. 8 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0968-4883

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Article
Publication date: 17 June 2004

Bang Nam Jeon and Se Young Ahn

An improved investment environment and aggressive foreign direct investment (FDI) liberalization strategies have enabled Asian countries, such as Korea and Vietnam, to attract…

Abstract

An improved investment environment and aggressive foreign direct investment (FDI) liberalization strategies have enabled Asian countries, such as Korea and Vietnam, to attract sharply increased FDI inflows and multinational corporations (MNCs) during the 1990s. Indonesia, however, has suffered from stagnated FDI inflows and, in particular, continued divestment since late 1998. In this paper, we report the survey results of recent changes in attitudes toward foreign MNCs perceived by government officials and business leaders in these three Asian countries, and investigate the major individual attribute determinants of their assessment of foreign investments using econometric tools. We also discuss policy implications of these findings for host‐country FDI policy makers and the international business community.

Details

Multinational Business Review, vol. 12 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1525-383X

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Article
Publication date: 1 August 1999

Jane H. Tuten

46

Abstract

Details

Electronic Resources Review, vol. 3 no. 8
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1364-5137

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Article
Publication date: 1 March 1991

David Blake

The different types of estimators of rational expectations modelsare surveyed. A key feature is that the model′s solution has to be takeninto account when it is estimated. The two…

Abstract

The different types of estimators of rational expectations models are surveyed. A key feature is that the model′s solution has to be taken into account when it is estimated. The two ways of doing this, the substitution and errors‐in‐variables methods, give rise to different estimators. In the former case, a generalised least‐squares or maximum‐likelihood type estimator generally gives consistent and efficient estimates. In the latter case, a generalised instrumental variable (GIV) type estimator is needed. Because the substitution method involves more complicated restrictions and because it resolves the solution indeterminacy in a more arbitary fashion, when there are forward‐looking expectations, the errors‐in‐variables solution with the GIV estimator is the recommended combination.

Details

Journal of Economic Studies, vol. 18 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0144-3585

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Article
Publication date: 1 February 2004

KEVIN DOWD, DAVID BLAKE and ANDREW CAIRNS

One of the most significant recent developments in the risk measurement and management area has been the emergence of value at risk (VaR). The VaR of a portfolio is the maximum…

Abstract

One of the most significant recent developments in the risk measurement and management area has been the emergence of value at risk (VaR). The VaR of a portfolio is the maximum loss that the portfolio will suffer over a defined time horizon, at a specified level of probability known as the VaR confidence level. The VaR has proven to be a very useful measure of market risk, and is widely used in the securities and derivatives sectors: a good example is the RiskMetrics system developed by J.P. Morgan. VaR measures based on systems such as RiskMetrics' sister, CreditMetrics, have also shown their worth as measures of credit risk, and for dealing with credit‐related derivatives. In addition, VaR can be used to measure cashflow risks and even operational risks. However, these areas are mainly concerned with risks over a relatively short time horizon, and VaR has had a more limited impact so far on the insurance and pensions literatures that are mainly concerned with longer‐term risks.

Details

The Journal of Risk Finance, vol. 5 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1526-5943

Article
Publication date: 1 June 2000

David Blake

The UK is one of the few countries in Europe that is not facing a serious pensions crisis. The reasons for this are straightforward: state pensions are among the lowest in Europe…

4368

Abstract

The UK is one of the few countries in Europe that is not facing a serious pensions crisis. The reasons for this are straightforward: state pensions are among the lowest in Europe, the UK has a long‐standing funded private pension sector, its population is ageing less rapidly than elsewhere in Europe and its governments have, since the beginning of the 1980s, taken measures to prevent a pension crisis developing. This article reviews the policies that have been implemented over the last two decades. It describes and analyses the defects in the Thatcher‐Major governments’ reforms that brought us to the current system, examines and assesses the reforms of the Blair government, and then identifies the problems that remain unresolved and how they might be addressed. Concludes with an examination of the implications of these reforms for the future of occupational pension schemes.

Details

Employee Relations, vol. 22 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0142-5455

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 21 April 2010

Alistair Byrne, David Blake and Graham Mannion

We examine the contribution and investment decisions made by members of a large UK‐based DC pension plan. We find that many employees appear to be relatively financially…

1572

Abstract

We examine the contribution and investment decisions made by members of a large UK‐based DC pension plan. We find that many employees appear to be relatively financially sophisticated and follow approaches consistent with economic and financial theory in terms of savings rates and investment strategies. However, there are also many less sophisticated employees who stick with plan default arrangements and/or follow simple rules of thumb in saving and investing. The challenge for corporate sponsors of pension plans is in designing arrangements and communication strategies that reduce the chances of these less sophisticated plan members making mistakes – in the sense of systematic deviations from optimal behaviour.

Details

Review of Behavioural Finance, vol. 2 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1940-5979

Keywords

Abstract

Details

Reference Reviews, vol. 13 no. 5
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0950-4125

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Article
Publication date: 25 July 2008

Alistair Byrne, Debbie Harrison and David Blake

The purpose of this paper is to provide an overview of key issues in the governance of defined contribution pension schemes, with a focus on investment matters, and to recommend…

1255

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to provide an overview of key issues in the governance of defined contribution pension schemes, with a focus on investment matters, and to recommend best practices.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper draws on the results of an online survey of the opinions of pensions professionals and on interviews with pensions professionals.

Findings

The paper finds that many employers and pension scheme trustees are reluctant to take an active role in pension scheme design and to provide support and guidance to members for fear of legal liability. Scope exists for regulators and legislators to create “safe harbour” provisions that will encourage employers and trustees to become more active in supporting members.

Practical implications

The paper makes a number of suggestions for best practice in the design and governance of defined contribution pension schemes, for example, in terms of the fund choice that should be offered.

Originality/value

The paper provides the first comprehensive review of investment issues for UK defined contribution pension plans.

Details

Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, vol. 16 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1358-1988

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